Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, June 12, 2026 | ISW
Russian forces may launch an Oreshnik intermediate-range ballistic missile (IRBM) at Ukraine in the next 24 to 48 hours.
understandingwar.orgappeared at the event to project strength a stable economy for Russia Day, Zelensky's open letter calling for an immediate ceasefire on the frontline and possible in-person talks; Analysis by ISW June 12 signals a possible Oreshnik IRBM launch against Ukraine within 24-48 hours. Frontline challenges and ongoing northern Sumy Oblast operations; domestic measures include labeling opposition groups and tightening controls ahead of elections. Observers' view also highlights tensions at the front as it seeks to project strength.